128 districts that will change the outcome of this election

Below you will find the list of 128 swing districts and our vote recommendation in each.

You can click on each recommendation to see more details.

Click here to read the methodology we used to make our recommendations. Or read this summarized version:

To come up with a recommendation I used:

  • Publicly available riding-level opinion polls data. Latest polls take precedence
  • 2011 election results, if supported by threehundredeight.com projections
  • When threehundredeight.com projections conflicts with 2011 election results, I review previous election results (2000, 2004, 2006 and 2008) for the riding voting trend and the reason behind the conflict. This is especially important with the surge in support for the Liberals to levels not seen since the 2006 election results

Click here to find out what riding you're in, and to see if you're registered to vote.